Usually the stronger party, but what does stronger mean? A single GigaChad, no matter how powerful, can never win even against an army of virgins.
Suppose you have two virgin armies of equivalent size. Which army wins? It’s the one that is “smarter” as a whole. This means even if every individual in the virgin army merely has a room temperature IQ — but they’re able to coordinate — their collective IQ would be much higher than an army of Chris Langans (a man who’s estimated IQ was between 195 and 210). Chris Langan is not the CEO of America, but a horse rancher. What matters aren’t the number of brain cells, but the degree to which all the brain cells work together. Likewise, what matters is not the competence of the individuals of the group, but their collective competence.
You’d expect the bigger army to win. All else being equal, sure, the bigger army wins, but numbers aren’t everything. For a given army size, the strongest one has some combination of strategy/coordination and power. Technology is a power multiplier. This is where the virgin gets his power. He may be weak, but the power of multiplication can do wonders. You can think of the accumulation of technology like bank savings. You could think of inventions in the real world as strategy deployed against the physical world. It doesn’t matter if you’re operating on chess pieces or lines of code. In both cases, you’re trying to solve a problem, you hold the state of the entire thing in your head, and you consider tradeoffs between different decisions. And even here, you have a bank of crystalized intelligence you can draw from. Every problem you’ve solved contributes to your crystalized intelligence, and can ideally be deployed at a moment’s notice.
Technology is great, but let’s get back to coordination. We can easily imagine an uncoordinated person. They can hardly get their arms and legs to do what they want them to. When they throw a ball, it might go forwards, but it’s hardly guaranteed. When Chad throws a dart, it’s always a bulls-eye. Internally, Chad is an army of cells with high coordination and discipline.
However coordinated you may be, if your coordination mechanism isn’t flexible, then you’re not going to be able to win. It’s not enough that everyone works together if all they want is porn and booze. And you need to be coordinated around something worthwhile. This presents us with a problem.
If you coordinate around a natural resource like gold, then the thing that brings you together can risk pulling you apart. Before you’ve conquered the land of gold, you’re all able to work together and get along because it’s you against the enemy. Once your army has the gold, the enemy is internal. The enemy is whoever has an unfair share of gold.
If you coordinate around your ethnicity, you run into a similar problem. If you exclude others on the basis of their race, then at what point do you stop? Ultimately, you should really coordinate around a set of principles. If you coordinate around a religion, how do you prevent people from bombing abortion centers or going on a murderous jihad?